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以太坊价格展望改善,因为ETH ETF资金流入恢复

Ethereum price is eyeing a recovery as U.S. spot exchange-traded funds record $141 million in inflows, indicating renewed investor confidence after days of out

以太坊价格正在寻求恢复,因为美国现货交易所交易基金录得1.41亿美元的资金流入,表明在几天的资金流出后,投资者信心恢复。

摘要

  • 在ETF资金流出逆转后,以太坊交易接近3,857美元。
  • 现货ETH ETF的资金流入达到1.41亿美元,主要由富达和黑石推动。
  • 关键支撑位在3,800美元,下一阻力位在4,500美元附近。

以太坊当前交易价格为3,857美元,过去24小时下跌0.2%。在过去七天中,该代币的波动范围在3,709美元到4,183美元之间,导致过去30天下降了10%,并且每周损失6%。以太坊仍比8月份的4,946美元峰值低21%。

尽管最近有所回调,以太坊(ETH)的市场活动正在回升。根据CoinGlass 数据,24小时交易量上升了35.2%,达到了458亿美元,而衍生品交易量则跃升了57.3%,达到了1,142亿美元。

未平仓合约也小幅上升0.6%,达到438亿美元,这表明交易者在上周的调整后开始重建头寸。

现货ETH ETF恢复资金流入

在连续三天的赎回后,美国现货以太坊ETF在10月21日录得1.416亿美元的净流入,SoSoValue的数据显示。富达的FETH以5,907万美元领先,其次是黑石的ETHA,流入4,246万美元。

Grayscale的Mini ETH和ETHE也分别录得2,258万美元和1,314万美元的小额但显著的流入。当天没有ETF报告资金流出。

分析师表示,这一恢复的资金流入可能在短期内帮助提升ETH价格,特别是如果动能在10月底继续。投资者还在关注即将到来的FOMC利率决策(10月28日至29日),市场预计有95%的概率会降息25个基点。

如果发出鸽派信号,像加密货币这样的风险资产可能会看到流动性增加。然而,美联储的鹰派立场可能会重新点燃宏观压力。

以太坊价格技术分析

日线图显示,以太坊交易价格低于布林带中线4,146美元,阻力位在4,720美元,支撑位在3,563美元附近。带宽的收窄暗示价格压缩,这通常发生在重大方向性移动之前。

以太坊日线图 | 来源:crypto.news

相对强弱指数为41.15,市场尚未进入超卖区域,但显示出一些看跌动能。短期恢复可以通过反弹至45-50 RSI以上来确认,但如果跌破40,则可能触发另一次下跌。

大多数移动平均线,如10日、20日、50日和100日EMA,发出卖出信号,表明短期趋势仍然疲弱。然而,200日EMA位于3,570美元,仍然暗示长期上升趋势。

如果ETF资金流入持续且美联储确认降息,ETH可能在3,900美元以上获得动力,并重新测试4,350-4,500美元区间。如果资金流入放缓或宏观情绪恶化,以太坊可能跌破3,800美元,打开通往3,560美元支撑甚至3,400美元的路径。

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